Files
grant-outreach-engine/docs/features/scoring.md
Croissant Le Doux 63b58e514d feat(scoring): 990-PF funder-precedent index — the 25-point subscore goes live
New funders/funder_grants schema + ingest990pf monthly workflow: IRS BMF
state file discovers NH private foundations (747), e-file index CSVs
select their latest 990-PF filings, batch ZIPs stream through fflate
(4/run cap, most-hits-first, deferred logged), grants-paid rows land in
funder_grants, and funders with >=2 NH grants synthesize rolling grant
rows (source irs_990pf, funder_ein linked) that flow through the
existing embed+match pipeline.

Scoring v2: funderPrecedentSubscore tiers repeated in-state giving
(1/3/5/10 -> 8/15/20/25); easy win = >=65 total AND >=12 precedent
(plan's precedent floor); scale is the full 0-100. Rolling deadlines
pass the runway gate. Retrieval computes per-funder in-state counts and
exposes funder_ein.

Lead-quality gates from the first precedent run's failures: candidate
orgs exclude NTEE T* grantmakers; self-matches gated by EIN + normalized
name (NHDOJ registers foundations as charities, several without resolved
EINs — the first run's top 'leads' were foundations matched to
themselves).

Live: ~6.5GB of IRS batches processed, 2,766 grants-paid rows, 123
synthesized foundation grants, 89 easy wins across 27 orgs, credible
top-10 (AIDS Response-Seacoast -> Foundation for Seacoast Health, 25/25
precedent). 153 tests green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-07-16 18:17:28 -04:00

24 lines
3.7 KiB
Markdown
Raw Blame History

This file contains ambiguous Unicode characters

This file contains Unicode characters that might be confused with other characters. If you think that this is intentional, you can safely ignore this warning. Use the Escape button to reveal them.

# Scoring engine v1 (Stage 2)
Nightly `matchGrants` workflow (05:15 UTC, after embeddings) — the plan's "SQL gates, vectors rank" hybrid.
## Flow, per candidate org (NH + good standing + primary ICP)
1. **Profile embedding** — v0 stub: NTEE-derived mission text (`buildOrgMissionText`) embedded as `RETRIEVAL_QUERY`, stored in `org_profiles` at confidence 0.2. The Stage 4 research profiler upgrades the row in place; this workflow doesn't change.
2. **Retrieval**`serverListEligibleGrantsForOrg`: one SQL statement enforcing the cheap hard gates (status open, embedded, deadline ≥ 21 days, ceiling ≥ $10K) with pgvector cosine ranking; top 50 per org.
3. **Remaining gates in TS** — entity eligibility (`entryAdmitsEntity`: conservative pattern matching over Grants.gov applicantTypes prose; ambiguous entries do NOT admit) and geography (word-boundary state code + full state name). `application_form_supported` is **deliberately ignored** for pass/fail (2026-07-16 manual-first decision — draftability verified by hand for top leads); its failure still lands in `rationale.gateFailures`. Failed pairs are not stored.
4. **Deterministic subscores** (`scoreMatch`, pure, tested): mission fit 30 (similarity 0.450.75 → 030) · capacity 15 (award 1075% of revenue = sweet spot) · competition 15 (state-restricted ≫ national) · effort 10 · runway 5 (310 weeks ideal). **Funder precedent (25pts, live)**: tiers of repeated giving into the org's state from the 990-PF index (1→8, 3→15, 5→20, 10→25); federal/no-data funders score 0 — absence of evidence ranks below presence. Easy win = total ≥ 65 AND precedent ≥ 12 (the plan's precedent floor). `subscores` jsonb keeps the full breakdown for reweighting.
5. **Upsert + hero** — pair-keyed upsert that never touches review fields (a human's reject stands even when scores move); `serverAssignHeroMatch` marks the org's top non-rejected gate-passing match.
## First live run (2026-07-16)
64 orgs × top-50 grants → 3,200 matches, 0 gate failures (corpus was pre-filtered to nonprofit-eligible, federal = geography-unrestricted), **0 easy wins, max 39/75**. That's the system being honest: the current corpus is 200 NIH-dominated federal research grants — wrong pond for $100K$5M NH service nonprofits (similarity ceiling ~0.58). The engine's next real gains are corpus-side: NH state agency sources, 990-PF foundation ingestion, full Grants.gov detail backlog, real effort estimates.
## v2 (2026-07-16, same day): 990-PF precedent + lead-quality gates
- `ingest990pf` (monthly, `0 6 2 * *`): IRS BMF `eo_nh.csv` discovers NH private foundations (`PF_FILING_REQ_CD=1`) → e-file index CSVs select their latest 990-PF filings → batch ZIPs (capped 4/run, most-hits-first, deferred logged) → grants-paid rows into `funder_grants` → funders with ≥2 NH grants synthesize a rolling `grants` row (source `irs_990pf`, `funder_ein` set, null close date) that flows through embed + match like any RFP.
- Rolling (null) deadlines now PASS the runway gate and score 2/5 runway.
- Candidate orgs exclude NTEE `T*` grantmakers, and matches self-gate by funder EIN plus normalized-name fallback — the first precedent run's top "leads" were foundations matched to themselves (NHDOJ registers grantmakers as charities; several lack resolved EINs).
- First full run: 747 NH foundations, 21 batches (~6.5GB processed, 1 deferred), 2,766+ grants-paid rows, 123 synthesized foundation grants → **89 easy wins across 27 orgs**, top hero 69/100 with real matches like AIDS Response-Seacoast → Foundation for Seacoast Health. Coverage grows nightly as enrichment drains the org backlog (56 candidate orgs of ~6.2K NH registrants so far).