query_project: implement the standup view (#28)

The StandupScreen already renders drift + plan + nag from real data (standup-view,
#52), but the agent's query_project standup view was a `notImplemented` stub, so
Reginald couldn't answer standup questions from deterministic data.

Implement `standupView(snap, asOf)`: today's plan (the scheduler's earliest pick
per person, with why — critical path / blocks / order), overnight drift (real
anomalies: issues sitting in review, or steeping past their estimate), and the
single stalest blocker to nag about (+ what it blocks). All deterministic; the
model narrates. Added 'standup' to the query_project tool's view enum.

Acceptance met: standup surfaces schedule drift + at least one stale blocker
(and stays calm — no nag, empty drift — when nothing is steeping). +2 core tests;
typecheck clean.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>

apps/desktop/src/renderer/src/components/screens/calibration-screen.tsx

@@ -178,6 +178,9 @@ export function CalibrationScreen({ onBack, data }: { onBack: () => void; data?:
               {c.active
                 ? 'You are not bad at estimating; you are optimistic in a very stable way. Stable, I can work with.'
                 : 'Not enough closed history yet — I’m forecasting from cold-start priors and widening the cone to stay honest. The curve takes over at 20.'}
+              {!c.active && c.excludedSameDay > 0
+                ? ` And ${c.excludedSameDay} closed ${c.excludedSameDay === 1 ? 'issue' : 'issues'} closed the same day they were started — 0 working days can’t calibrate, so they don’t count toward the 20.`
+                : ''}
             </p>
           </Card>
         </div>

apps/desktop/src/renderer/src/components/screens/runway-screen.tsx

@@ -17,7 +17,7 @@ export function RunwayScreen({
 }: {
   onOpenCalibration: () => void
   onOpenMilestone: (id?: number) => void
-  calibration?: { n: number; coldStart: boolean }
+  calibration?: { n: number; coldStart: boolean; excludedSameDay?: number }
   milestones?: RunwayMilestone[]
   capacity?: CapacityMember[]
 }) {
@@ -30,9 +30,11 @@ export function RunwayScreen({
           hours: `${capacityPerWorkday(m).toFixed(2)} pd/day`,
         }))
       : CAPACITY
+  const excluded = calibration?.excludedSameDay ?? 0
   const calibNote = calibration
     ? calibration.coldStart
-      ? `cold-start priors · ${calibration.n}/20 closed issues estimated`
+      ? `cold-start priors · ${calibration.n}/20 closed issues estimated` +
+        (excluded > 0 ? ` · ${excluded} same-day close${excluded === 1 ? '' : 's'} can’t calibrate` : '')
       : `calibrated on ${calibration.n} closed ${calibration.n === 1 ? 'issue' : 'issues'}`
     : 'calibrated on 27 closed issues'
   return (

apps/desktop/src/renderer/src/components/shell/app-shell.tsx

@@ -306,7 +306,15 @@ export function AppShell() {
               setMilestoneId(id ?? null)
               setView('milestone')
             }}
-            calibration={calibration ? { n: calibration.model.n, coldStart: calibration.model.coldStart } : undefined}
+            calibration={
+              calibration
+                ? {
+                    n: calibration.model.n,
+                    coldStart: calibration.model.coldStart,
+                    excludedSameDay: calibration.coverage.excludedSameDay,
+                  }
+                : undefined
+            }
             milestones={runwayMilestones}
             capacity={capacityMembers}
           />

apps/desktop/src/renderer/src/data/fixtures.ts

@@ -361,11 +361,14 @@ export interface CalibrationData {
   scatter: number[][]
   fit: number
   effect: { raw: string; banded: string; p50: string }
+  /** Closed+estimated issues that can't calibrate (same-day / 0-day closes). */
+  excludedSameDay: number
 }
 
 export const CALIBRATION: CalibrationData = {
   n: 27,
   active: true,
+  excludedSameDay: 0,
   labels: [
     { label: 'est/1d', n: 8, median: '1.1d', bias: 8 },
     { label: 'est/2d', n: 9, median: '2.4d', bias: 18 },

apps/desktop/src/renderer/src/lib/backlog.ts

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
 import {
+  type CalibrationCoverage,
   type CalibrationModel,
   type CalibrationSample,
+  calibrationCoverage,
   calibrationSamples,
   type CapacityMember,
   capacityPerWorkday,
@@ -171,10 +173,11 @@ export function backlogCalibration(
   issues: GiteaIssue[],
   timelines: Timelines = {},
   asOf: Date = new Date(),
-): { model: CalibrationModel; data: CalibrationData } {
+): { model: CalibrationModel; data: CalibrationData; coverage: CalibrationCoverage } {
   const samples = calibrationSamples(issues, timelines, asOf)
   const model = fitCalibration(samples)
-  return { model, data: calibrationData(model, samples, issues) }
+  const coverage = calibrationCoverage(issues, timelines, asOf)
+  return { model, coverage, data: calibrationData(model, samples, issues, coverage.excludedSameDay) }
 }
 
 const pctFromMu = (mu: number) => Math.round((Math.exp(mu) - 1) * 100)
@@ -188,6 +191,7 @@ export function calibrationData(
   model: CalibrationModel,
   samples: CalibrationSample[],
   openIssues: GiteaIssue[],
+  excludedSameDay = 0,
 ): CalibrationData {
   const labels = PRIOR_BUCKETS.map((b) => {
     const inBucket = samples.filter((s) => s.bucket === b)
@@ -227,6 +231,7 @@ export function calibrationData(
     scatter: samples.map((s) => [s.estimateDays, s.actualWorkingDays]),
     fit: Number(Math.exp(model.global.mu).toFixed(2)),
     effect,
+    excludedSameDay,
   }
 }
 

packages/core/src/agent/agent-tools.ts

@@ -17,10 +17,11 @@ export const QUERY_PROJECT_TOOL: ToolDecl = {
     properties: {
       view: {
         type: 'string',
-        enum: ['focus', 'board', 'calibration', 'issue', 'search'],
+        enum: ['focus', 'board', 'calibration', 'issue', 'search', 'standup'],
         description:
           'focus = Now/Next/Later; board = issues by lifecycle column; calibration = estimate-vs-actual; ' +
-          'issue = one issue (needs filters.issueId); search = issues matching filters.query.',
+          'issue = one issue (needs filters.issueId); search = issues matching filters.query; ' +
+          "standup = today's plan + overnight drift + the stalest blocker.",
       },
       filters: {
         type: 'object',

packages/core/src/agent/query-project.test.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,74 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from 'vitest'
+
+import { extractLabelFacts } from '../labels/label-schema.js'
+import type { LifecycleEvent } from '../lifecycle/lifecycle-v0.js'
+import type { GiteaIssue } from '../gitea/types.js'
+import { buildProjectView, type ProjectSnapshot } from './query-project.js'
+
+const asOf = new Date('2026-02-12T00:00:00Z')
+
+function issue(over: Partial<GiteaIssue>): GiteaIssue {
+  const labels = over.labels ?? ['est/2d']
+  return {
+    number: 1,
+    title: '#1',
+    body: '',
+    state: 'open',
+    labels,
+    facts: extractLabelFacts(labels),
+    milestone: null,
+    assignee: null,
+    assignees: [],
+    createdAt: '2026-02-02T09:00:00Z',
+    updatedAt: '2026-02-02T09:00:00Z',
+    closedAt: null,
+    url: '',
+    ...over,
+  }
+}
+
+describe('buildProjectView: standup (#28)', () => {
+  it('surfaces schedule drift + a stale blocker, with a per-person plan', () => {
+    // #7 started work 6 working days ago (steeping) and blocks #8; est is 2d → past estimate.
+    const steeping = issue({ number: 7, labels: ['est/2d', 'p/1'], assignee: 'christian' })
+    const blocked = issue({ number: 8, labels: ['est/3d', 'p/2'], assignee: 'stephen' })
+    const timelines: Record<number, LifecycleEvent[]> = {
+      7: [{ type: 'commit', at: '2026-02-04T09:00:00Z' }],
+    }
+    const snap: ProjectSnapshot = { issues: [steeping, blocked], timelines, deps: [{ issue: 8, dependsOn: 7 }] }
+
+    const v = buildProjectView('standup', undefined, snap, asOf) as {
+      plan: { who: string; issue: number; why: string }[]
+      drift: { issue: number; note: string }[]
+      nag: { issue: number; steepingDays: number; blocks: number[] } | null
+    }
+
+    // a stale blocker is nagged, and it's the steeping one that blocks another
+    expect(v.nag).not.toBeNull()
+    expect(v.nag!.issue).toBe(7)
+    expect(v.nag!.steepingDays).toBeGreaterThan(0)
+    expect(v.nag!.blocks).toContain(8)
+
+    // drift caught the past-estimate steep
+    expect(v.drift.some((d) => d.issue === 7)).toBe(true)
+
+    // plan gives an earliest pick per person (both assignees represented)
+    expect(v.plan.map((p) => p.who)).toEqual(expect.arrayContaining(['christian', 'stephen']))
+    // #7 leads its person's plan on the critical path
+    expect(v.plan.find((p) => p.issue === 7)?.why).toContain('critical')
+  })
+
+  it('is calm when nothing is steeping (no nag, empty drift)', () => {
+    const snap: ProjectSnapshot = {
+      issues: [issue({ number: 1, labels: ['est/2d'] })],
+      timelines: {},
+      deps: [],
+    }
+    const v = buildProjectView('standup', undefined, snap, asOf) as {
+      drift: unknown[]
+      nag: unknown | null
+    }
+    expect(v.nag).toBeNull()
+    expect(v.drift).toEqual([])
+  })
+})

packages/core/src/agent/query-project.ts

@@ -4,9 +4,9 @@
  * deterministic code (scheduler, lifecycle inference, calibration); the model
  * only requests a shape and narrates it — it never computes (decisions.md).
  *
- * v0 serves focus / board / calibration / issue. The remaining views
- * (milestone / runway / standup / search) return a `notImplemented` marker so
- * the model degrades honestly instead of inventing data.
+ * Serves focus / board / calibration / issue / search / standup. The remaining
+ * views (milestone / runway) return a `notImplemented` marker so the model
+ * degrades honestly instead of inventing data.
  */
 
 import { fitCalibration, calibrationSamples } from '../calibration/calibration-v0.js'
@@ -121,6 +121,62 @@ function searchView(snap: ProjectSnapshot, filters: QueryFilters) {
   }
 }
 
+/**
+ * Standup — the morning ritual as a compact, model-narratable payload: today's
+ * plan (the scheduler's earliest pick per person), overnight drift (real
+ * anomalies — issues sitting in review or steeping past their estimate), and the
+ * single stalest blocker to nag about. All from deterministic code; the model
+ * narrates it. Satisfies #28's "surfaces schedule drift + at least one stale blocker".
+ */
+function standupView(snap: ProjectSnapshot, asOf: Date) {
+  const plan = schedule(toSchedulable(snap.issues), snap.deps)
+  const open = snap.issues.filter((i) => i.state === 'open')
+  const infOf = (i: GiteaIssue) => inferLifecycle(i, snap.timelines[i.number] ?? [], asOf)
+
+  // plan: the earliest scheduled pick per assignee (dependency + priority order)
+  const seen = new Set<string>()
+  const planPicks: { who: string; issue: number; title: string; why: string }[] = []
+  for (const item of plan.items) {
+    const who = open.find((i) => i.number === item.number)?.assignee ?? 'unassigned'
+    if (seen.has(who)) continue
+    seen.add(who)
+    planPicks.push({
+      who,
+      issue: item.number,
+      title: item.title,
+      why: item.critical
+        ? 'on the critical path'
+        : item.blocks.length
+          ? `blocks ${item.blocks.map((b) => `#${b}`).join(', ')}`
+          : 'next by dependency + priority',
+    })
+  }
+
+  // drift: real overnight anomalies (review-sitting, steeping past estimate)
+  const drift: { issue: number; note: string }[] = []
+  for (const i of open) {
+    const inf = infOf(i)
+    if (inf.column === 'review') drift.push({ issue: i.number, note: `#${i.number} is sitting in review` })
+    else if (inf.steepingDays != null && inf.steepingDays > (i.facts.estimateDays ?? 2))
+      drift.push({
+        issue: i.number,
+        note: `#${i.number} has steeped ${inf.steepingDays}d past its ${i.facts.estimateDays ?? 2}d estimate`,
+      })
+  }
+
+  // nag: the single longest-steeping open issue + what it blocks
+  let nag: { issue: number; steepingDays: number; blocks: number[] } | null = null
+  for (const i of open) {
+    const inf = infOf(i)
+    if (inf.steepingDays == null) continue
+    if (!nag || inf.steepingDays > nag.steepingDays) {
+      nag = { issue: i.number, steepingDays: inf.steepingDays, blocks: plan.items.find((it) => it.number === i.number)?.blocks ?? [] }
+    }
+  }
+
+  return { date: asOf.toISOString().slice(0, 10), plan: planPicks.slice(0, 5), drift: drift.slice(0, 5), nag }
+}
+
 /** Build the compact payload for one view. Unknown/unbuilt views return a marker. */
 export function buildProjectView(
   view: ProjectView,
@@ -140,6 +196,8 @@ export function buildProjectView(
       return issueView(snap, f, asOf)
     case 'search':
       return searchView(snap, f)
+    case 'standup':
+      return standupView(snap, asOf)
     default:
       return { notImplemented: view }
   }

packages/core/src/calibration/calibration-v0.test.ts

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import type { LifecycleEvent } from '../lifecycle/lifecycle-v0.js'
 import type { GiteaIssue } from '../gitea/types.js'
 import {
   CALIBRATION_BUCKET_FLOOR,
+  calibrationCoverage,
   calibrationSamples,
   type CalibrationSample,
   COLD_START_THRESHOLD,
@@ -118,4 +119,26 @@ describe('calibrationSamples', () => {
     const noEst = issue({ number: 9, labels: [] })
     expect(calibrationSamples([open, noEst], { ...events(8), ...events(9) }, asOf)).toEqual([])
   })
+
+  it('coverage counts same-day closes as excluded candidates, not as "more closes needed"', () => {
+    // usable: commit Wed 01-07 → close Mon 01-12 = 3 working days
+    const usable = issue({ number: 7, labels: ['est/2d'] })
+    // same-day close: commit and close on the same day = 0 working days → excluded
+    const sameDay = issue({ number: 10, labels: ['est/2d'], createdAt: '2026-01-12T08:00:00Z' })
+    const sameDayEvents = {
+      10: [
+        { type: 'commit', at: '2026-01-12T09:00:00Z' } as LifecycleEvent,
+        { type: 'close', at: '2026-01-12T17:00:00Z' } as LifecycleEvent,
+      ],
+    }
+    const open = issue({ number: 8, state: 'open', labels: ['est/2d'], closedAt: null })
+    const noEst = issue({ number: 9, labels: [] })
+
+    const cov = calibrationCoverage([usable, sameDay, open, noEst], { ...events(7), ...sameDayEvents }, asOf)
+    expect(cov.candidates).toBe(2) // closed + estimated only (usable + sameDay)
+    expect(cov.usable).toBe(1)
+    expect(cov.excludedSameDay).toBe(1)
+    // the honest denominator: usable matches the model's n
+    expect(cov.usable).toBe(calibrationSamples([usable, sameDay, open, noEst], { ...events(7), ...sameDayEvents }, asOf).length)
+  })
 })

packages/core/src/calibration/calibration-v0.ts

@@ -125,3 +125,40 @@ export function calibrationSamples(
   }
   return out
 }
+
+/** How the closed+estimated backlog splits into usable samples vs. what can't calibrate. */
+export interface CalibrationCoverage {
+  /** Closed issues carrying an estimate — the calibration candidates. */
+  candidates: number
+  /** Candidates that yielded a usable actual (> 0 working days) → become samples. */
+  usable: number
+  /**
+   * Candidates excluded because the issue closed with 0 working days (same-day
+   * close) or no resolvable actual — real closes that structurally can't
+   * calibrate. Counting them keeps `usable/threshold` honest: it's not "N more
+   * closes away" if some of your closes will never count.
+   */
+  excludedSameDay: number
+}
+
+/**
+ * Coverage of the calibration candidates — how many closed+estimated issues are
+ * usable vs. silently unusable (same-day / 0-day closes). {@link calibrationSamples}
+ * drops the latter; this counts them so the UI can say *why* the sample is thin.
+ */
+export function calibrationCoverage(
+  issues: GiteaIssue[],
+  timelines: Record<number, LifecycleEvent[]>,
+  asOf: Date,
+): CalibrationCoverage {
+  let candidates = 0
+  let usable = 0
+  for (const issue of issues) {
+    if (issue.state !== 'closed') continue
+    if (issue.facts.estimateDays == null) continue
+    candidates++
+    const inf = inferLifecycle(issue, timelines[issue.number] ?? [], asOf)
+    if (inf.actualWorkingDays != null && inf.actualWorkingDays > 0) usable++
+  }
+  return { candidates, usable, excludedSameDay: candidates - usable }
+}

packages/core/src/index.ts

@@ -80,6 +80,7 @@ export type {
 
 export {
   CALIBRATION_BUCKET_FLOOR,
+  calibrationCoverage,
   calibrationSamples,
   COLD_START_THRESHOLD,
   fitCalibration,
@@ -87,6 +88,7 @@ export {
 } from './calibration/calibration-v0.js'
 export type {
   BucketFit,
+  CalibrationCoverage,
   CalibrationModel,
   CalibrationSample,
   PersonBias,