Clicking a milestone on Runway now opens its real detail: scope + done %, a Monte
Carlo cone over the remaining open work, and the milestone's issues grouped by
lifecycle column. Threaded the gitea milestone id through the Runway row → AppShell
→ a milestoneView().
- backlog.ts: milestoneView(id, ...) → { name, due, scope/done, forecast cone +
range, groups by lifecycle column }. Reuses forecast + buildBurnUpData + lifecycle
inference. null for an unknown id → the screen shows the demo fixture.
- RunwayMilestone gains an `id`; runwayView sets it; RunwayScreen.onOpenMilestone(id).
- MilestoneScreen takes optional `data`; renders real header/stats/cone/issue-groups
when present, fixture otherwise.
Verified: desktop typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green. Live: clicking "P2 —
Scheduler + Monte Carlo" opens a real detail — 7 issues · est 20d, 0/7 done, cone
"80% Aug 17–26", issues in Triage/In-review from the real event stream (screenshot).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The Runway milestone list is now real. Each open gitea milestone's open scope gets
its own Monte Carlo forecast (reusing the P2 engine); the p80 landing range is
shown, and compared to the milestone's due date (on track / at risk) when one
exists. Ranges, never point dates.
- backlog.ts: runwayView(issues, milestones, deps) → RunwayMilestone[] — per
milestone: forecast its open scope, map p50..p90 to a date range, normalize the
RunwayBar band across a shared horizon, tone/ note from due-vs-p80. Milestones
with no open scope (shipped) are omitted; empty → the demo fixture.
- RunwayScreen takes optional `milestones`; AppShell feeds runwayView. The header's
calibration note was already real (#1).
Scope: each milestone forecasts its remaining work *from today* independently —
they aren't scheduled relative to each other yet (so a smaller later phase can
show an earlier date). Cross-milestone sequencing is a refinement. Capacity stays
fixture — true per-person capacity (focus factor, allocation) is #8, config-driven.
Verified: desktop typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green. Live: Runway shows the
real P1/P2/P4/P5 milestones with per-milestone forecasts (e.g. "P2 — Scheduler +
Monte Carlo · 80% Aug 14–25 · 32d of work"); the fixture lists Beta/Pilot/v1.0,
so the real names prove it (new assertion + screenshot).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The first write path. Read, forecast, and calibration were all real; now you can
*manage* CommiTea from CommiTea. Estimates/priority are exclusive label axes, so
a change is a label swap — proposed, approved, then written. Nothing is assumed.
core (@commitea/core):
- planIssueChange(current, change): pure diff planner — swaps the est/*|p/* axis,
clears on null, dedups a doubled axis; returns the resulting label set + a
before/after diff + noop flag. describeChange() renders "est/2d → est/5d".
- request() seam extended for writes (method/body, JSON, 204). client gains
listLabels() (name→id) and setIssueLabels() (PUT /issues/{n}/labels).
app:
- main bridge gitea:applyChange — resolves plan.labels → ids (cached, refetch on
miss), PUTs, returns the plan + fresh issue. Token never leaves main.
- preload + global.d.ts expose applyChange; useBacklog returns a refetch so a
write re-reconciles the board + forecast.
- Issue screen: an Adjust button (shown only when configured) opens a
propose-approve Dialog — estimate/priority pickers, live "est/3d → est/8d"
consequence, Apply/Cancel. AppShell wires it, reflects new labels on the open
issue immediately, and refetches.
Verified: 83 core tests green (7 apply-changes + 2 client-write new), desktop
typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green. Live spec exercises propose + CANCEL (no
mutation); the real PUT was verified once manually (change #2 est/3d→est/8d→200,
reverted clean). Icon: pencil (no sliders-horizontal in the set).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Close the D3 loop. The forecast now learns from the team's own estimate-vs-actual
history (the working time #5 infers from git events) instead of guessing forever.
core (@commitea/core/calibration-v0):
- fitCalibration(samples): lognormal fit on log(actual/estimate) — global +
per-bucket (once a bucket clears the floor) + per-person bias. coldStart until
n >= 20 closed-with-estimate issues.
- calibrationSamples(): pull those samples from the closed backlog via lifecycle
inference (estimate label vs inferred actualWorkingDays).
- toDurationModel(): project the fit to the params forecast consumes.
- forecast() gains options.model: when past cold-start, fitted params drive the
sim (per bucket, global fallback); otherwise the code priors do. Forecast.coldStart
now reflects the model. nearestBucket extracted + exported.
app:
- AppShell fits calibration once from the reconciled backlog, feeds the model into
forecastBacklog (cone), and drives the Calibration screen + Runway header.
- Focus cone footer, Runway note, and Calibration screen now say cold-start (N/20)
vs calibrated (on N closed) from real data; Calibration scatter / bucket bias /
per-person all fitted, degrading honestly on a thin dataset.
Known refinement: same-day closes yield 0 working-day actuals (day-granular) and
are excluded, so a fast-moving repo can sit at n=0 — honest, but a fractional
(hours-based) actual would let those count. Per-person uses gitea login, not
display name, until the person map lands.
Note: also re-lands #10 (Monte Carlo) and #5 (lifecycle) which merged into their
stacked base branches but never propagated to main (stacked-merge trap); this
branch is cut from main and carries all three so main is whole again.
Verified: 74 core tests green (9 calibration + 2 forecast-switch added), desktop
typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green, live spec asserts the real cold-start
calibration surface (Runway note + screen badge fitted from actuals).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Fill the board's Steeping / In-review columns (and the calibration actuals)
from real gitea timeline events, replacing the three-column-only v0.
core (@commitea/core):
- inferLifecycle(issue, events, asOf): five-column inference — closed → done;
open PR ref → review; commit ref → steeping; any triage signal → triage;
else diagnosis. Earliest event of each kind fixes the stage timestamp.
- Derives actualWorkingDays (work-start → close) — the estimate-vs-actual the
calibration fit (D3) learns from — and steepingDays (first commit → now) for
the board age badge.
- workingDaysBetween(): whole Mon–Fri days in [start, end), day-granular.
- normalizeTimeline() + client.getIssueTimeline(): map gitea's raw timeline
(label/milestone → triage, commit_ref → commit, pull_ref → pull, close,
reopen), drop the rest. Paginated.
app:
- reconcile now fetches every issue's timeline and returns it keyed by number;
threaded through the bridge → useBacklog → board/focus.
- issuesToBoardColumns + scheduleFocus run inferLifecycle: real Steeping/In-review
columns, steeping-age `days` badge, focus-card steeping badge.
Known refinement: gitea's pull_ref fires on any PR mention, so an issue merely
referenced in a PR body can read as In-review; distinguishing closing refs from
mentions needs the PR link's state (later). Re-opening multi-segment actuals
also deferred.
Verified: 63 core tests green (15 lifecycle, incl. workingDaysBetween + the five
transitions), desktop typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green, live spec asserts
the board's Done column is populated from real events.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Replace the demo cone on Morning service with a real, seeded Monte Carlo
forecast over the open backlog. The LLM never does this — it's plain,
reproducible code (evidence-based scheduling).
core (@commitea/core/forecast-v0):
- Code-resident lognormal cold-start priors per estimate bucket (D3):
sampled actual = estimate * exp(N(mu, sigma)), mu > 0 (actuals run long),
sigma shrinks as tickets grow. Replaced by the team's empirical fit at
n >= 20 (#5 supplies the actuals).
- forecast(): seeded mulberry32 + Box-Muller over the scheduler's
deterministic order (order is fixed from estimates/deps; only durations
vary, so the cone stretches, never reorders). Returns p50/p80/p95 landing
+ a per-issue burn-up curve (p10/p50/p90). 12 unit tests; reproducible.
renderer:
- lib/dates.ts: working-day -> calendar mapper (skips weekends) + buildBurnUpData.
- BurnUpCone gains a data-driven twin; falls back byte-identical to the
fixture cone when no forecast (demo mode unchanged).
- Focus card shows the real "80% of the open backlog lands by <range>",
real scope count, and names the cold-start priors.
v0 scope (each a later slice): single serial worker (capacity is #8);
cold-start priors only (empirical fit is #5); no historical actual polyline
(needs lifecycle events, #5). Header chrome (reconcile time, ahead/behind
badge) stays fixture until milestone due dates land.
Verified: 51 core tests green, desktop typecheck clean, 14 fixture e2e green,
live spec asserts the real cone renders (25 open issues, "lands by Nov 11-27").
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
CommiTea now recommends its own next unit of work from the live backlog.
- @commitea/core: `schedule()` — dependency topo-sort with priority +
estimate tie-breaks, single serial capacity, cycle detection, and
critical-path marking; `selectFocus()` takes the top three. Pure,
deterministic; the LLM does none of this. +11 tests (39 in core).
Client gains `getIssueDependencies`.
- main: reconcile also fetches native issue dependencies for the open
scope and returns edges.
- renderer: `scheduleFocus()` maps real issues+deps→Now/Next/Later;
Focus renders scheduler output (fixture fallback when unconfigured).
v0 scope (each a later slice): single serial worker (per-person
capacity #8), point durations (Monte Carlo cone #10), estimate-only
(calibration #5). Verified: 14 e2e green (fixtures) + gated live spec —
the board shows the real 25 open + 9 closed, and Focus picks #2
ChangeSource (critical path) as Now. Screenshots confirmed.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
The app now displays its own live backlog instead of fixtures. First
end of the sync loop — the tap-root (#1) grows list reads and a read
path through the Electron main process.
- @commitea/core: client gains `listIssues` (paginated, PRs excluded)
and `listMilestones`; a `lifecycle-v0` mapper (closed→done,
labelled/milestoned→triage, bare→diagnosis — steeping/review await
event inference in P1-5). +10 unit tests.
- main: gitea bridge over IPC (token stays in main, never the renderer);
config from env / .env.local; gated off under COMMITEA_E2E so the
committed e2e stays on fixtures. Preload exposes the typed bridge.
- renderer: useBacklog() reconciles once on mount; issuesToBoardColumns
shapes real issues into The pot. Board takes optional real columns +
a loading state, falling back to demo fixtures when unconfigured.
Verified: 14 e2e green (fixture mode) + a gated live spec that launches
against the real repo — the board renders the actual 25 open + 9 closed
issues (screenshot). SQLite mirror + reconcile-on-a-timer + lifecycle
event inference are the next slices (#2/#3/#5).
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
