feat(scoring): federal funder precedent via USASpending (ALN-level)

Precedent was always a valid criterion for federal grants — the index
just didn't cover them. Now: ingest captures ALN/CFDA numbers from
fetchOpportunity (grants.alns); nightly federalPrecedent workflow
(04:45) queries USASpending award search per distinct program (free
official API, 3-year NH lookback) and stamps program_state_award_count
+ sample recipients onto open grants (multi-ALN keeps highest). Match
retrieval feeds the same funderStateGrantCount input and 25-point tiers
foundations use; detail page shows the recipients-evidence table with
an incumbent-renewal caution.

Also: detail refresh now rotates oldest-verified-first
(serverMapGrantVerification) — the Set-based partition re-fetched the
same 200 every pass, leaving 365/565 grants ALN-less.

Live: 564/564 grants ALN-tagged, 156 programs swept, 85 with NH
history, 468 grants carrying precedent, first federal easy-wins (66pts,
25/25 precedent, Aug-24 deadline). 158 tests green.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

apps/outreach-review/app/routes/matches.$matchId.tsx

@@ -290,11 +290,15 @@ export default function MatchDetail({ loaderData }: Route.ComponentProps) {
       {nhHistory.length > 0 && (
         <section className="rounded border p-4">
           <h2 className="mb-1 text-lg font-semibold">
-            Funder giving history (from 990-PF filings)
+            {grant.source === 'irs_990pf'
+              ? 'Funder giving history (from 990-PF filings)'
+              : 'Recent program awards to NH recipients (USASpending)'}
           </h2>
           <p className="mb-3 text-sm text-gray-600">
-            The concrete evidence behind the precedent score — who this
-            funder actually paid, sorted in-state first.
+            The concrete evidence behind the precedent score —{' '}
+            {grant.source === 'irs_990pf'
+              ? 'who this funder actually paid, sorted in-state first.'
+              : 'who this federal program actually funded in NH recently. Watch for one incumbent recapturing renewals vs. genuine spread across orgs.'}
           </p>
           <table className="w-full text-sm">
             <thead>